Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.067485 0.080016 0.094068 0.110971 0.130727 0.153068 0.180224
2025-03-30 0.047827 0.063780 0.083703 0.110313 0.144823 0.187950 0.245812
2025-04-06 0.035775 0.052381 0.074960 0.107697 0.153708 0.215790 0.305576
2025-04-13 0.027620 0.043767 0.067352 0.103970 0.158982 0.238034 0.359582
2025-04-20 0.023239 0.039426 0.064566 0.105952 0.171738 0.271419 0.432750
2025-04-27 0.019694 0.035547 0.061575 0.106732 0.182225 0.302132 0.505193
2025-05-04 0.016878 0.032257 0.058831 0.107207 0.191879 0.332222 0.579801
2025-05-11 0.014787 0.029802 0.057001 0.108757 0.203233 0.366031 0.664077
2025-05-18 0.013372 0.028309 0.056574 0.112593 0.218862 0.408582 0.767814
2025-05-25 0.011294 0.025128 0.052478 0.108939 0.220236 0.426042 0.828945
2025-06-01 0.009946 0.023175 0.050419 0.108823 0.228091 0.455869 0.915594
2025-06-08 0.008675 0.021148 0.047875 0.107303 0.232879 0.480271 0.994409
2025-06-15 0.007912 0.020147 0.047378 0.110085 0.246967 0.524696 1.118086
2025-06-22 0.006956 0.018518 0.045271 0.109103 0.253104 0.554095 1.215350
2025-06-29 0.006025 0.016768 0.042601 0.106443 0.255216 0.575394 1.298260
2025-07-06 0.005170 0.015036 0.039683 0.102743 0.254450 0.590413 1.369396
2025-07-13 0.004741 0.014345 0.039173 0.104700 0.266886 0.635302 1.509961
2025-07-20 0.004301 0.013538 0.038242 0.105470 0.276588 0.675116 1.643414
2025-07-27 0.003900 0.012759 0.037254 0.105939 0.285597 0.714273 1.779437
2025-08-03 0.003587 0.012179 0.036705 0.107472 0.297441 0.761276 1.938548
2025-08-10 0.003387 0.011912 0.036979 0.111265 0.315554 0.825114 2.144138
2025-08-17 0.002956 0.010813 0.034703 0.107652 0.313747 0.840190 2.233057
2025-08-24 0.002686 0.010186 0.033710 0.107537 0.321331 0.879437 2.385812